This Strike is hurting the local small business owner’s that are the backbone of communities like Bloor West Village; The Danforth, Kensington Market, Lake Shore Humber Bay.

Someone needs to stand up and ask these children [politicians] to solve the issues in a business like fashion and let the youth of Toronto have their Parks and Recreation Centers opened. With the warmer weather approaching there will be no wading pools open at all to escape the summer heat.

The world is watching our City thru the CNN Newscasts that talk about Toronto not being a great place to visit and the lack of Ferry Service and other City worker related issues that have an impact on the enjoyment and visitation on vacation for evens like Caribana.

People worked very hard to get these events promoted and attended only to have the garbage strike take the focus away.

We cannot make up for lost tourist dollars in October and November.

http://eleganthomesinwesttoronto.blogspot.com/2009/07/garbage-strike-continues-to-hurt-local.html

reviewed by Moishe Alexander, CFC Canadian Funding Corp CEO

Do any of you know of the economist David Rosenberg? Long-time readers of Boom2Bust.com know that Rosenberg, considered one of the best North American economists around, is one of our original “crash prophets” and called the current recession and crisis a long time before most of his colleagues. As a matter of fact, not only was Rosenberg correct about the recession, but his timing on the start of the downturn was only off by a few weeks. I wrote the following way back on November 12, 2007:

A runner-up in the October contest was chief North American economist David Rosenberg of Merrill Lynch. The Wall Street Journal is reporting in their MarketBeat Blog post today that Rosenberg is saying the U.S. economy may already be in a recession.

And here’s a post I dug up from July 17, 2008, which isn’t too far off from what some of his contemporaries are now warning about:

According to the Financial Post (Canada) from July 9, David Rosenberg, the chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch, is warning of the possibility of not one U.S. economic recession, but a series of them. The Post’s Jacqueline Thorpe wrote:

Rosenberg has consistently held one of the more pessimistic views on Wall Street, arguing the housing slump and credit crunch will exact a heavy toll on U.S. consumer spending. He believes the data will eventually show the recession started in January.

But he adds it’s not the peak-to-trough decline in real GDP that’s important but the duration. Trouble is, the duration could be Japanese-like (about a decade).

Just like Japan, he says a series of rolling recessions is possible for the next three to five years, making it extremely difficult to time the market. Japanese equities got trashed through the process. At the 1998 post-bubble lows, Japanese bank, construction, real estate and transport stocks were all down 80%, retail stocks were down 50%. The only place to hide was bonds, notes the bond bull.

Rosenberg told the Canadian publication:

We are nervous that we have ended up following in Japan’s footsteps due to the inept fiscal response to the problem. A temporary tax rebate from Uncle Sam to buy iPods tackles a real estate deflation and credit crunch as effectively as the LDP’s (Liberal Democratic Party) “solution” in the early 1990s to build bridges and pave river beds that nobody needed.

FREE VIDEO for Traders/Investors! Dow Update

So, what is Rosenberg, now chief economist and strategist at Toronto wealth management firm Gluskin Sheff, forecasting these days? From the CNBC website yesterday morning:

The stock market is still in danger of breaking through its March lows as the economy continues to struggle, economist David Rosenberg told CNBC.

An additional round of government stimulus is likely to have little more impact than “cushioning the blow” of unemployment that will “easily” break the post-World War II high of 10.8 percent in 1982, said Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff.

“Could we see a new low? Who’s to say that we couldn’t?” he said. “A lot’s going to depend on the economic outlook. I don’t think another fiscal package is going to save the day.”

Some of Rosenberg’s other points:

• The market is currently only half-way through a secular bear market that could last another nine years. “You’ve got to trade accordingly, because there’s going to be huge spasms and rallies along the way,” he said.
• Stocks have priced in an earnings level that probably won’t be achieved until 2012, posing more danger of a move lower.
• The gap between the so-called “U6″ unemployment rate, which entails virtually all jobless including part-time workers who want to work full-time, and the number the government releases is at its widest ever. That indicates that even when the outlook improves for companies they are likely to bring part-time workers to full-time status first before hiring new workers, which in itself indicates a protracted period of a high unemployment rate.
• Cutbacks at the state and local government levels as well as a massive reduction in household balance sheets pose further headwinds for the economy.

“There are secular changes taking place in the economy right now, and you really have to be braced for it,” he said.

http://www.boom2bust.com/2009/07/08/stock-bear-cycle-only-half-over-9-more-years-to-go/

posted here by Moishe Alexander, CFC Canadian Funding Corp CEO

The real estate market in Calgary has changed significantly in the past few months. We went from having an over-supply of homes where sellers waited endlessly for offers, to a brand new market where, in certain price ranges, multiple offers on the same home are becoming more and more common every day.

Here’s the latest News Release from the Calgary Real Estate Board…

Calgary, July 2, 2009 – The number of single family homes and condos sold in June in Calgary metro are both up from the same time a year ago.
MLS® sales activity of single family Calgary metro homes was 1,837 in the month of June 2009, showing an increase of 16 per cent from 1,584 sales in May 2009, according to figures released by the Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB®).
This is the sixth consecutive month home sales have increased in Calgary Metro. This was an increase of 28 per cent from June 2008, when single family home sales were 1,439. The number of condominium sales for the month of June 2009 was 738, an increase of 13 per cent from the 653 condominium transactions recorded in May 2009, and an increase of 33 per cent from June 2008, when 556 condominiums changed hands.

“This is the third consecutive month we are seeing our inventory return to a balanced market,” says Bonnie Wegerich, President of the Calgary Real Estate Board. “Our inventory turnover for single family homes and condos in metro Calgary is now just over two months. This is a remarkable shift from the nearly 11 months of inventory we saw in January of this year.”
“A rise in demand along with fewer listings has helped bring supply in balance with demand,” says Wegerich. “Affordable prices, low interest rates and pent-up demand continue to fuel this gradual rebound. Should this trend continue, I think we can confidently say the bottom of the market has come and gone before many buyers had a chance to notice.”

The average price of a single family Calgary metro home in June 2009 was $447,142, showing an increase of 2 per cent from May 2009, when the average price was $436,427, and showing a decrease of 6 per cent from June 2008, when the average price was $473,774. The average price of a Calgary metro condominium was $285,595 showing a 4 per cent increase from May 2009, when the average price was $275,212 and a decrease of 9 per cent over last year, when the average price was $315,042. Average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods, or account for price differentials between geographical areas.

“It is not the buyer’s market we saw in January of this year. As our inventory trends lower, choice and selection will decrease. Nonetheless, there are still great opportunities out there for buyers,” says Wegerich.

“The good news is pricing remains relatively affordable,” says Wegerich. “We are not liable to see significant price gains in 2009, but more likely a gradual and steady improvement in home values.”

Single family Calgary metro new listings added for the month of June totaled 2,244, no change from May 2009 when 2,235 new listings were added, but showing a decrease of 19 per cent from June 2008, when 2,787 new listings came to the market. Calgary metro condominium new listings added in June 2009 were 927, down 7 per cent from May 2009, when the MLS® saw 998 condo listings coming to the market. This is a decrease of 25 per cent from June 2008, when condominium listings were 1,234.

The median price of a single family Calgary metro home in June 2009 was $399,000, showing an increase of 2 per cent from May 2009, when the median price was $390,000, and down 2 per cent from June 2008, when the median price was $408,000. The median price of a condominium in June 2009 was $265,500, up 4 per cent from May 2009, when the median was $255,000, and down 6 per cent from June 2008, when the median price was $282,000. All Calgary metro MLS® statistics include properties listed and sold only within Calgary’s city limits. The median price is the price that is midway between the least expensive and most expensive home sold in an area during a given period of time. During that time, half the buyers bought homes that cost more than the median price and half bought homes for less than the median price.

“We are encouraged by this upward trend in sales but there are still some economic fundamentals needed before we will see a full recovery in the housing market,” added Wegerich. “A rebound in employment and oil prices will have a significant impact on the housing market in Calgary-we expect this won’t fully take effect until the beginning of 2010.”

http://yourhomeincalgary.blogspot.com/2009/07/its-july-2009-and-weather-is-fine-so-is.html

viewed by Moishe Alexander, canadian funding corp CEO